Black Swans

Black Swans in emerging markets   In writing your essay: • You have to provide motivation for the chosen topic and clearly express your objectives in the context of investment decisions in emerging markets. • You have to be able to collect, present, and analyze data relevant to the issues you consider. In other words, your essay should be an empirical work (literature survey are not permitted). • The permitted source of market data is Thomson Reuters Datastream. • At least two-thirds of the essay should be devoted to your results and their analysis. • Your essay should provide evidence of extensive reading on a topic and the ability to provide a focused and analytical discussion of the relevant issues. • The essay should have a clear, well-organized structure. You should show an ability to relate evidence to theory. • The essay must be carefully and accurately referenced.   Important: Please upload your data and work files (e.g., Excel and Stata files including original data and Stata do-file). The information submitted should be sufficient to replicate your results!   The above information is the official requirement, and the following are my instructions: I intend to imitate a similar structure to the given examples, and analyze the country group ‘The Next Eleven’ (known also by the numeronym N-11). I did not provide the data needed for this essay. You should be able to download the relevant data from Datastream, and I suggest to use the MSCI indices for those country markets, just like the student example given. You decide the sample period for each country according to the available data you could get. However, the student sample given is not perfect. Please do pay much attention to the motivation/contribution of this essay and avoid mechanically duplicate the materials given. Please remember to record the original data and do the file as these documents are required to submit as well.   (What Is Next Eleven? Next Eleven, also known as N-11, are the eleven countries that are poised to become the biggest economies in the world in the 21st century, after the BRIC countries. The N-11 was chosen by Goldman Sachs Group, Inc in a 2005 paper exploring the potential of BRIC and the N-11. They are – Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, South Korea, Turkey, and Vietnam.)

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